Conventional wisdom holds that it is "better to be first than it is to be better." The desire to pioneer, to "colonize" is intense. But, as Constantinos C. Markides and Paul A. Geroski write in Fast Second: How Smart Companies Bypass Radical Innovation to Enter and Dominate New Markets, the companies that "create radical new markets" are not typically the ones that scale them up and dominate them. Often, it is the "second-movers" that are able to leverage new markets into bountiful, and profitable, opportunities. How?
Colonizers are the first-movers, the originators. Typically young and agile, they thrive in the risky, "haphazard" world of radical innovation. Consolidators, or second-movers, on the other hand, are the companies that conquer the markets.
Instead of the "it's better to be first than it is to be better" mentality, consolidators embrace a different philosophy: according to Markides and Geroski, "Where colonizers move quickly out of necessity, consolidators move relentlessly but inexorably out of a desire to get it right."
In the early stages of the US auto industry, for example, there were 1000 companies vying for customers to get behind their wheels. Why? "Because the entire concept of what a car would be was up for grabs. The 1000 firms represented not viable carmakers, but rather 1000 ideas about what a car might be." Ford's Model T became the "dominant design." It wasn't first, but it did set the standard.
Innovations and ideas create niche markets; established companies can then enter the fray and scale those markets up. How? Markides and Geroski outline five strategies:
Those five strategic thrusts are the "how." Equally vital is the "when." When should second-movers enter the market? It depends on their strategy. A slower second enters after a dominant design emerges. For example, Patron created a market for high-end tequila - a drink that was traditionally the province of drunk, cheap spring-breakers. The "super-premium" brand poured millions of marketing dollars into educating consumers, and it worked.
Voodoo Tiki Tequila is a second-mover. Their own brand of high-end tequila leverages all of the hard work (and money) that Patron put into consumer instruction. Founder Donna eCunzo-Taddeo explains the benefit of their later entry: "We'll make a bigger profit because our costs are a lot lower."
That's a slow second. A fast second differs because companies do not wait for a dominant design to emerge. They hop into the market just before - and influence its design. IBM is a classic example. In the 1954, mainframe pioneer UNIVAC enjoyed a market share that was 8 times greater than IBM. Just six years later, that ratio was reversed. As Markides and Geroski write, "Being a fast-second was [IBM's] ticket to market leadership."
When to get that ticket punched is the big question, and companies need to become adept at reading the market. Signs to be on the lookout for:
When the timing is right, companies can seek the second-mover advantage, set the dominant design, and take over the market. History is full of these brands and products: Apple, IBM, LinkedIn, Yelp, Google, Prozac, and, of course, Zantac to name but a few.
It's more than good timing (though the importance of good timing - no, impeccable timing - cannot be overstated); brands that hope to capitalize on a fast second entry need to impose their dominant design on the marketplace. How?
As the authors of Fast Second remind businesses, "Victory doesn't always go to the fastest." When brands adopt a fast second or even a robust second-mover strategy, they can outpace - and outlast - pioneers. Established firms may not be agile enough to engage in radical innovation, but they don't need to be. They have the skills, the experience, and the pockets to scale up. And that is how you conquer the market.